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How to Beat Four Aces

Posted on April 02, 2012 in Articles

What are the odds of beating Four Aces with a Royal Flush in a game of Poker?

In a recent article here on BicycleCards.com, we discussed the odds of a few incredible Poker scenarios. You can read that original article here.

In this post, we wanted to elaborate on the odds of one specific, remarkable situation occurring: beating four Aces with a Royal Flush. What are the chances?

It’s not possible to have both of those hands at once in traditional 5-card Draw or 7-card Stud poker (without using wild cards), but it is possible in Texas Hold ‘Em and Omaha. It isn’t likely, but it is certainly possible!

In fact, it actually happened back in 2008 during the Main Event of the World Series of Poker. Television cameras caught all of the action, complete with a cameo from Ray Romano. Click here to watch the video on YouTube.

Incidentally, the video quotes the odds as 1 in 2.7 billion. That’s not exactly correct. The 1 in 165 million hands figure we quoted in our original article is correct. It’s true that the odds of the hand occurring in the exact manner in the video are much higher and much closer to (although not precisely) 1 in 2.7 billion. However, there are other ways for these two hands to fall at the same time, so the real odds are much less than that.

In any event, if someone wrote that scenario into a movie script, the audience would never believe it. It’s one of those once in a lifetime moments that makes for a great story! Will it happen to you?